Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 15.558874 18.063783 20.784125 23.950339 27.526308 31.431866 36.011910
2025-08-24 10.960552 14.295382 18.281517 23.360651 29.619950 37.038311 46.448440
2025-08-31 8.070780 11.578420 16.108120 22.305815 30.472273 40.762572 54.590563
2025-09-07 6.685188 10.376161 15.452926 22.806177 33.017616 46.507029 65.444789
2025-09-14 5.667239 9.436746 14.918448 23.260711 35.377375 52.033462 76.284217
2025-09-21 4.673846 8.328867 13.934367 22.871203 36.403128 55.695187 84.726123
2025-09-28 3.842953 7.312636 12.911793 22.239117 36.920582 58.565780 92.132452
2025-10-05 3.603705 7.226325 13.312571 23.805197 40.823118 66.565552 107.407866
2025-10-12 3.338661 7.044630 13.517399 25.047537 44.284866 74.092870 122.400551
2025-10-19 2.962986 6.594295 13.197512 25.362063 46.250659 79.412575 134.312198
2025-10-26 2.620540 6.147231 12.818188 25.514015 47.925287 84.335963 145.839504
2025-11-02 2.264541 5.609569 12.198309 25.159065 48.682720 87.792466 155.187961
2025-11-09 1.908046 5.030953 11.471394 24.619187 49.230713 91.202778 165.129937
2025-11-16 1.587208 4.470809 10.710802 23.947649 49.521575 94.274736 174.856831
2025-11-23 1.285267 3.884028 9.799638 22.858762 48.922506 95.747633 181.961508
2025-11-30 1.153403 3.687490 9.691997 23.367920 51.359438 102.675812 198.784230
2025-12-07 1.035265 3.499574 9.573010 23.831795 53.733151 109.621747 216.005264
2025-12-14 0.881147 3.174393 9.083175 23.433948 54.348927 113.376400 227.748972
2025-12-21 0.737683 2.841085 8.516483 22.788373 54.385711 116.026870 237.611718
2025-12-28 0.720308 2.890953 8.915356 24.387758 59.211228 128.025157 265.206314
2026-01-04 0.687312 2.883214 9.163438 25.656310 63.423730 139.065518 291.535407
2026-01-11 0.618158 2.737256 9.022578 25.977445 65.613499 146.277969 311.017381
2026-01-18 0.550974 2.579581 8.824259 26.132585 67.443412 152.870249 329.625153